← Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
decks
3
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
11-8-0
overall winrate
57.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.0%
avg ELO +3.9 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1360
· median 1402
· range 1242–1436
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1520
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 41.9% | -3.9 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.3% | +17.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +15.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 65.9% | +11.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
